BOS 109, ATL 102: Jalen Johnson Lights It Up With 53 ESPN FP
Destiny Williams
Math Teacher & Basketball Coach ยท Atlanta Hawks fan
Payton Pritchard's 36-Point Explosion Steals the Show in Celtics' Battle Over Hawks
| Player | ESPN FP | Yahoo FP | Tonight | Season Avg | +/- Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson | 53.0 | 49.2 | 29/6/6 | 22.8/10.3/8.1 | +6.2 |
| Jayson Tatum | 36.0 | 45.9 | 26/12/5 | 19.1/9.2/3.7 | +6.9 |
| Payton Pritchard | 50.0 | 45.4 | 36/7/4 | 16.6/4.0/5.2 | +19.4 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 42.0 | 38.3 | 20/4/5 | 20.4/3.4/3.7 | -0.4 |
| CJ McCollum | 28.0 | 30.0 | 21/5/2 | 18.8/3.4/3.8 | +2.2 |
| Dyson Daniels | 30.0 | 28.7 | 6/6/5 | 11.8/6.7/5.9 | -5.8 |
| Neemias Queta | 25.0 | 25.7 | 5/11/5 | 9.9/8.3/1.5 | -4.9 |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 17.0 | 20.8 | 8/9/2 | 15.4/7.6/3.2 | -7.4 |
| Derrick White | 10.0 | 19.3 | 10/4/5 | 17.2/4.5/5.5 | -7.2 |
| Jordan Walsh | 24.0 | 19.1 | 5/3/1 | 5.3/4.1/0.7 | -0.3 |
Look, I'm gonna be straight with you. This was supposed to be a Hawks night. We were home (metaphorically for me watching from Atlanta), Jalen Johnson was playing his best basketball of the season, and the energy should've carried us to a W. Instead, the Celtics pulled out a 109-102 win, and it all came down to one thing: Payton Pritchard went completely off the rails in the best way possible.
Let's start with the elephant in the room. Pritchard dropped 36 points on 13-23 shooting with 6 threes in 34 minutes. That's 45.4 Yahoo FP. That's a +19.4 swing from his season average of 16.6 PPG. I teach probability to seventh graders, and I can tell you with confidence that this doesn't happen often. For context, Pritchard averaged 16.6 points all season. Tonight he nearly doubled that. This isn't a "wait and see" situation. This is a guy who found the hot hand and rode it. The Sixth Man of the Year award on his resume showed up in full force.
What makes this wild is that it couldn't have come at a worse time for fantasy managers holding Hawks players. Because while Boston was getting a career night from Pritchard, Atlanta couldn't stop the bleeding.
Jalen Johnson put together a legit performance with 29/6/6 on solid efficiency (9-21 FG, 5 threes). He scored 6.2 points above his season average and was the best player on the floor for long stretches. The problem? It still wasn't enough. Johnson played 36 minutes and did everything right, but he didn't get the supporting cast he needed down the stretch. This is peak frustrating fantasy night, honestly. Your guy goes off, you're feeling good about the week, and then the L happens. That's basketball sometimes.
Nickeil Alexander-Walker chipped in 20/4/5 on decent shooting, and yeah, he's creeping up ownership-wise (now 88% owned), which makes sense after a game where he hit 6-7 free throws and looked composed. But he wasn't the star. He was solid. That's different.
CJ McCollum added 21/5/2 for 30 Yahoo FP, and honestly, I want to flag this because he was +2.2 from his season average and efficient (8-20 with 3 threes). If McCollum keeps getting 33 minutes and finding rhythm like this, he's a floor player at minimum in your weekly leagues. Nothing flashy, but consistent.
Here's where it gets messy for Hawks fans: Dyson Daniels had one of those nights that makes you want to pull your hair out. 6/6/5 with 2 steals sounds fine in a vacuum. But he took only 8 shots and went 3-8. This was a guy fighting for touches, and the Celtics' defense probably had a game plan on him. The reigning All-NBA Defensive selection (yes, that's what he was last year) looked pedestrian. He was -5.8 from his season average in scoring. When your defense-first guy isn't chipping in offensive load, that's a problem for your weekly total.
Onyeka Okongwu played heavy minutes (37) and put up 8/9/2, but here's the thing, he was -7.4 from his season average in scoring and the rebounding didn't pop off either. He's getting the minutes, but the efficiency and production just aren't there. If you're counting on him as a depth piece, tonight was a reminder that he's inconsistent.
On the Celtics side, Jayson Tatum did Jayson Tatum things: 26/12/5 on 8-24 shooting. Look, he went +6.9 from his season average and added the boards (12 is solid for him). But he's All-NBA first team, and 36 minutes on 33% shooting shouldn't feel like a good night even if he hit his free throws (8-10). The only reason this works is because Pritchard went nuclear. In a closer matchup where Tatum's off night actually matters, this loses you weeks. Keep that in mind if Tatum's on your roster.
Derrick White got 34 minutes but completely stalled. 10/4/5 sounds okay until you realize he went 3-13 from the field and was -7.2 from his season average. White's supposed to be a glue guy who doesn't hurt you. Tonight, he did. If there's an injury report coming for him, I'm not seeing it, so this was just a bad shooting night. It happens.
Neemias Queta was interesting in short minutes (27). 5/11/5 blocks with a block is a decent per-minute return, but -4.9 from his average means he's still trending below expectation. He's a waiver wire deep dive if you're desperate for rim protection and rebounding floor in a 14-team league, but he's not consistent enough to trust yet.
Jordan Walsh got 27 minutes off the bench and picked up 3 blocks with 5 points. He's a young guy finding his way. Not fantasy relevant right now, but the blocks suggest he's getting minutes in a defensive scheme. Monitor if this keeps up, but don't act yet.
What This Means For Your Rosters
The Hawks loss stings for anyone banking on Atlanta depth. Johnson proved he's a top-20 player when engaged, but he needs more help. Alexander-Walker is fine as a third option but not a world-beater. The Celtics showed that Pritchard can go off, but expecting 36 points weekly is insane. Sixth men do that once in a blue moon.
If you're in a league where Pritchard is under 95% owned, add him this week. One game doesn't define a player, but getting a guy who shot 56% from three in 34 minutes is valuable. He's not Sixth Man of the Year every night, but the upside is real.
On the flip side, if Derrick White is sitting on your bench looking like a sell-high candidate, maybe hold and see if tomorrow's data shows anything concerning. One bad shooting night doesn't break a top-75 player.
The Hawks will be fine. Johnson will keep producing. But this game is a good reminder that even your best performances need teammates to show up. That's fantasy basketball.