Fasketball

Rookie Dynasty Model

Our rookie dynasty projection model for NBA fantasy basketball. No human intervention.

Every NBA draft class projected the same way — a machine model estimates each rookie's 1, 3, 5 and 10-year fantasy production (9-cat, games, minutes, PIE, PER) from college and pre-draft data. No scouts, no takes, no human intervention. Past classes show the projection next to what actually happened.

2026 53 prospects

Top: Cameron Boozer

2025 47 prospects

Top: Cooper Flagg

2024 43 prospects

Top: Donovan Clingan

2023 45 prospects

Top: Dereck Lively II

2022 39 prospects

Top: Chet Holmgren

2021 48 prospects

Top: Evan Mobley

2020 47 prospects

Top: Onyeka Okongwu

2019 46 prospects

Top: Zion Williamson

2018 46 prospects

Top: Jaren Jackson Jr.

2017 44 prospects

Top: Lonzo Ball

2016 40 prospects

Top: Ben Simmons

2015 44 prospects

Top: Karl-Anthony Towns

2014 44 prospects

Top: Joel Embiid

2013 46 prospects

Top: Victor Oladipo

2012 50 prospects

Top: Anthony Davis