Fasketball
Game Analysis OKCNOP Tuesday, January 27, 2026

OKC 104, NOP 95: Holmgren Wins Duel With Bey

Kwame Asante

Kwame Asante

Junior Accountant ยท Oklahoma City Thunder fan

Thunder Survive Ugly Slugfest, Chet's Dominance Keeps OKC Afloat

Right, so that was... not pretty. Thunder 104, Pelicans 95. A nine-point win that felt about as clean as a wet floor after someone's spilled their coffee. Both teams couldn't find rhythm to save their lives, but OKC's interior D and bench depth eventually choked out New Orleans. Not exactly appointment viewing, but there's fantasy gold buried in here if you know where to look.

Player ESPN FP Yahoo FP Tonight Season Avg +/- Pts
Chet Holmgren 61.0 55.3 20/14/3 17.9/8.7/1.6 +2.1
Saddiq Bey 40.0 44.1 16/13/5 15.9/5.8/2.4 +0.1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 30.0 39.2 29/6/4 32.0/4.4/6.2 -3.0
Zion Williamson 39.0 37.2 21/11/2 22.0/6.2/3.4 -1.0
Trey Murphy III 26.0 35.5 10/5/5 21.9/6.0/3.7 -11.9
Herbert Jones 35.0 34.5 9/5/5 9.1/3.5/2.5 -0.1
Jaylin Williams 28.0 32.5 4/10/5 5.5/4.8/2.5 -1.5
Yves Missi 32.0 29.2 9/6/2 5.8/5.8/1.2 +3.2
Luguentz Dort 28.0 28.1 12/8/3 8.8/3.9/1.2 +3.2
Derik Queen 27.0 27.9 9/7/1 12.1/7.4/4.3 -3.1

Chet's Carrying the Load

Chet Holmgren (55.3 Yahoo FP) put the Thunder on his back and basically said "right, we're winning this one." 20 points, 14 rebounds, 5 blocks on 8-14 shooting is the kind of performance that wins ugly playoff-style games. He was +5.3 rebounds versus his season average, which tells you everything, you need to know. New Orleans couldn't contain him down low. He wasn't flashy about it, just relentlessly efficient and physical.

Here's the thing though, and I'm going to be direct: 14 rebounds for a centre is good, not transcendent. But in a game where neither team cracked 100 points and the pace was glacial, controlling the glass was literally the game. Chet is doing what All-Defensive Second Team performers are supposed to do. The blocks (5) are gravy.

Is this sustainable? Against better offences, no. Against teams that can't generate easy looks, absolutely. The Pelicans shot 44% from the field. That's not a fluke, that's defensive pressure.

Shai Does Shai Things, but Not Pretty

Right, so Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 29 points. That's his job. That's what a reigning MVP does. But he shot 8-22 and took 14 free throws to get there. 39.2 Yahoo FP with -3.0 versus his season average feels about right for a night where he had to hunt for buckets.

The assists were quiet (4, -2.2 versus his 6.2 season average), which is the real tell. When Shai isn't creating for others, he's leaning on volume. Tonight he had to grind it out. Still fantasy-respectable, but you'd feel better about him in a flowing Thunder game. This is one of those nights where "29 points" sounds bigger than 39.2 fantasy points actually played out.

The Real Gem: Bey Explodes Off the Bench

Saddiq Bey (44.1 Yahoo FP) was an absolute unit off the bench for the Pelicans. 16 points, 13 rebounds, 5 assists, 2 steals is the kind of line that makes fantasy managers go "wait, who?" He was +7.2 rebounds versus his season average and suddenly people should be asking questions about his role.

Was this a one-off? Possibly. But 33 minutes is real playing time, and he was efficient (4-16 FG looks rough until you realise 5 of those were 3-pointers, all cash). If New Orleans keeps running him like this, he's a legitimate add in deeper leagues. Only 1.7% owned. I'm not saying he's a league-winner, but there's path to value here if the usage stays elevated.

The Disappointment: Trey Murphy's Clunker

Trey Murphy III (35.5 Yahoo FP) came out flat. 10 points on 3-20 shooting, -11.9 versus his season average. That's not just a bad night, that's a "what happened" night. 39 minutes played and he was still finding ways to miss. Granted, his steals (3) and playmaking (5 assists) kept him respectable in scoring systems, but if you're depending on Trey for 22 points a night, last night was a reminder that consistency is a luxury.

Nothing to panic over, mind you. One game doesn't break him. But this is the kind of performance that makes you feel less confident sliding him into your starting lineup next week.

The Depth Story: Thunder's Bench Closes It Out

Isaiah Joe (24.1 Yahoo FP) going 6-11 with 5 threes was the dagger. 17 points in 24 minutes off the bench is exactly how you win a defensive slog. Luguentz Dort (28.1 Yahoo FP) with 4 threes is another angle worth noting, he hit 4-12 from deep. When your Thunder bench is raining threes and locking up on defence, New Orleans' perimeter guys can't generate rhythm.

Jaylin Williams (32.5 Yahoo FP) was the other beneficiary, 10 rebounds in 26 minutes is the kind of minutes spike that happens when a game gets ugly and low-scoring. He's valuable when the pace dies, which is becoming a real thing to monitor depending on Thunder matchups.

What's Actually Worth Doing

Add Saddiq Bey if your league is 14+ teams. 44 fantasy points on a night where he got genuine run is worth a flyer. The Pelicans might be leaning on him more than previous weeks.

Trey Murphy isn't a drop, but if someone's panicking, you could bid for him. One clunker from a 22-PPG player usually means decent buy-low opportunity.

Chet Holmgren stays locked in. All-Defensive teams don't suddenly become unreliable, they just win boring games like this one.

And right, Thunder fans can rest easy. That was precisely the kind of grind-it-out W that teams need when they're chasing the one seed. Gutsy stuff. Stayed up until 3am for that one, worth it just to see Chet operate down low. Coffee's kicking in now.

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